Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.404639 0.441036 0.480480 0.526620 0.579393 0.638202 0.709168
2025-10-26 0.336735 0.385489 0.442291 0.514241 0.604250 0.714950 0.864367
2025-11-02 0.295276 0.348742 0.414026 0.501278 0.617540 0.771340 0.997988
2025-11-09 0.266953 0.322724 0.393284 0.491611 0.629445 0.823219 1.131581
2025-11-16 0.245394 0.302261 0.376311 0.483137 0.639493 0.871379 1.267310
2025-11-23 0.228313 0.285693 0.362264 0.476098 0.649214 0.918789 1.410865
2025-11-30 0.218971 0.278442 0.359828 0.484681 0.682487 1.007478 1.647822
2025-12-07 0.207735 0.267541 0.351052 0.482476 0.697879 1.068330 1.849446
2025-12-14 0.197826 0.257696 0.342823 0.479943 0.711874 1.128465 2.067668
2025-12-21 0.186482 0.245012 0.329384 0.467736 0.707563 1.153490 2.215758
2025-12-28 0.182366 0.242488 0.330838 0.479431 0.746294 1.268485 2.622141
2026-01-04 0.177485 0.238469 0.329611 0.486392 0.777124 1.373667 3.052623
2026-01-11 0.170991 0.231872 0.324234 0.486368 0.795977 1.460189 3.486765
2026-01-18 0.162873 0.222412 0.313779 0.476686 0.794977 1.502512 3.810990
2026-01-25 0.155064 0.213020 0.302838 0.465164 0.788756 1.531272 4.109004
2026-02-01 0.148449 0.205153 0.293898 0.456486 0.787297 1.571755 4.482643
2026-02-08 0.142544 0.198113 0.285903 0.448865 0.787100 1.615707 4.908150
2026-02-15 0.137306 0.191887 0.278907 0.442528 0.788895 1.665739 5.408736
2026-02-22 0.134950 0.190133 0.279313 0.450254 0.823095 1.816258 6.582067
2026-03-01 0.131068 0.185730 0.274924 0.448269 0.834673 1.903787 7.530558
2026-03-08 0.127384 0.181487 0.270573 0.445990 0.845259 1.991778 8.628149
2026-03-15 0.122522 0.175119 0.262194 0.434996 0.833294 2.003349 9.200494
2026-03-22 0.121328 0.174748 0.264336 0.445530 0.876252 2.215755 11.901252